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Exit Polls show BJP winning Gujarat & Himachal Pradesh; MCD to AAP

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Second and final phase of Gujarat Polls were held on December 5 (today). Some of the prominent people who cast their mandate includes Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Home Minister Amit Shah, State chief minister Bhupendra Patel among others. The festival of polls came to an end for this year.

Exit Polls were held immediately after the polling concluded. Results for Himachal Pradesh, Gujarat, and Municipal Corporation of Delhi (MCD) were discussed. Though, any Exit Polls cannot be full proof or the last say but still it helps to understand the trend of winning or losing in any polls. Also, there are possibilities that entire or part Exit Polls can go wrong totally but the chances are rare. The samples collected for the survey are done after immense research and analysis.

The poll season or fever comes to an end with the closing of second phase of Gujarat polls.

Different brands or poll analysts have different readings but the message is more or loss clear. Suppose Channel A is predicting Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP) in lead then Channel B, C or D too have same reading, numbers may differ.

After returning to Delhi, PM Modi attended a party event at the BJP headquarters and discussed the 2024 general elections. This shows how serious this party is about winning elections. On the contrary, there is Rashid Alvi of Congress who on a television debate argued by saying “hum harenge kyunki hum jitna nahin chahte hain…” (We may lose because we were not interested in winning polls).

On average, in Gujarat, and Himachal Pradesh the trend is towards the BJP. Congress making a dent and AAP being totally wiped off in Himachal Pradesh (seats between 0 to 1). Congress is trying to revive atleast in Gujarat where Exit Polls show it behind BJP with around 30 to 40 per cent) votes. Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) on average is fighting the battle with 1 to 15 seats.

Though it’s too early to predict as the picture may change on the actual counting day.

However, in MCD, the trends show that AAP has done good homework and is sweeping Civic Polls in Delhi with around 140 to 170 seats. This is indeed a very big development for a party that has lost its face value over liquor politics. Though, it’s not the ‘win win situation’ for the AAP but is getting the advantage of anti-Congress votebank.

The results for MCD will be declared on December 7, 2022. Results for Gujarat, and Himachal Pradesh will be declared on December 8, 2022.

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Himachal Pradesh Polls 2022: Fate of 412 candidates across 68 constituencies sealed, results on Dec 8

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Polling is taking place across 68 assembly constituencies in Himachal Pradesh. Polling began at 8 am and will end around 5 pm. In a very significant development, officials conducted a mock poll at all booths to check Electronic Voting Machines (EVM).

Election Commission (EC) informed that only four per cent polling was registered till 9 am. It began to pick up as the morning progressed and the winter chill eased a bit. Till 11 am 18 per cent voting was recorded. According to 1 pm update, 37.19 per cent voting was recorded.

A glance at the vote percentage at a few important constituencies:

Chamba: 28.35 per cent
Mandi: 41 per cent
Bilaspur: 34.05 per cent
Simla: 37 per cent
Kullu: 40.33 per cent
Hamirpur: 33.86 per cent

Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) President JP Nadda, Minister for Sports, Information & Broadcasting, Anurag Thakur, Chief Minister Jairam Thakur, former Chief Minister Prem Kumar Dhumal among others also cast their mandate. After casting his vote Nadda while speaking to media said, BJP will come to power in the state. He said, BJP works for the development of people.

More than 55 lakh voters in the region are excising their franchise and will decide the fate of 412 candidates in 68 assembly constituencies. Twenty four women candidates are in the fray. Of the total voters, 28,54,945 are male and 27,37,845 female voters in the state.

In an early morning message to voters, Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged them to enthusiastically participate in the “festival of democracy” and register a voting record. In a tweet, Modi also greeted young voters who will be exercising their franchise for the first time.

Trends are with the BJP as people say they have seen development in the region. However, the real picture will be crystal clear on December 8 when results will be declared.

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Polling in Himachal Pradesh under strict vigil, says CEC

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Chief Election Commissioner (CEC) Rajiv Kumar held a press conference to announce the dates of Himachal Pradesh elections. The polling in Himachal Pradesh will take place on November 12. The counting of votes will take place on December 8, 2022. The last day to withdraw the nomination is October 27, 2022. However, the Election Commission did not announce the poll schedule for Gujarat citing past precedence.

The CEC said Commission will take all the equate measures to ensure that the polling across the state is free and fare. He said special team will be constituted to monitor the anomalies in the poll proceedings. Special teams will constantly monitor social media platforms to check fake news in the upcoming assembly polls in Himachal Pradesh and respond immediately as it asserted it will not hesitate in taking criminal action wherever required.

Announcing the dates for Himachal Pradesh assembly polls, Chief Election Commissioner (CEC) Rajiv Kumar said the panel has “established social media teams to keep strict vigil on fake news being spread during elections. Social media will be monitored constantly and any fake news would be acted upon immediately penal actions can be taken too”.

The political activities have intensified in the state after the announcement of the dates. Though, its too early to comment on the outcome of the poll but as per the locals in the region, there is a fare chances of Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) winning the polls. Rest things would come to light on December 8, 2022 when the results will be declared.